Provisional KS4 data 2017: Has your Progress 8 score improved?

I’m not normally inclined to say “I told you so” but, in this case, it might be justified. Back in 2015, when the Department for Education announced the scores for old style GCSEs in 2017, Dave Thomson and I did some calculations to look at 'what if' the DfE 2016 and 2017 scoring systems were applied [...]

By | 2018-02-22T09:03:43+00:00 October 17th, 2017|Exams and assessment, School accountability, School improvement|

How do Ofsted ratings relate to Progress 8 scores?

This is a joint blogpost from Education Datalab and the Association of School and College Leaders (ASCL). This post was updated on 16 October 2017. The cut-off date for inclusion in this analysis was originally stated as 30 June 2017, based on an earlier draft of this analysis, when it should have been given as 31 [...]

By | 2017-12-20T13:18:04+00:00 October 11th, 2017|School accountability|

Putting Progress 8 in context

We thought we’d run out of things to say about Progress 8 but a couple of blogposts from Tom Sherrington and Jim Gordon last week made us realise that we hadn’t. Both examine, among other things, how Progress 8 scores vary by pupil and school characteristics. (Progress 8 is the headline value added measure by which [...]

By | 2017-11-13T15:01:02+00:00 March 2nd, 2017|Exams and assessment, School accountability|

Who’s left: Will Progress 8 reduce incentives to lose low-attaining pupils?

This is one of several blogposts in Datalab's 'Who's left' series of posts. The full series can be found here. Progress 8 is the ‘value added’ measure by which secondary schools are now being judged – it came into play from the 2015/16 academic year. Such value added measures look at the progress which a [...]

By | 2017-10-23T13:05:50+00:00 January 31st, 2017|School accountability|

Another attempt at a qualification-neutral Progress 8 measure

Progress 8 is the value added measure by which secondary schools are being judged, starting from the last academic year. At Datalab we’re broadly supportive of it as a measure. But no measure of school performance is perfect, and P8 is no exception. It doesn’t account for pupil background, and so favours schools with high percentages [...]

By | 2017-10-23T13:06:25+00:00 January 24th, 2017|School accountability|

Qualification neutral Progress 8

One criticism of the current Progress 8 measure is that the points awarded to some qualifications are more (or less) favourable than to others. There is a risk that any inequality in the way different qualifications are valued incentivises schools to pursue those treated more favourably at the expense of working to improve grades awarded [...]

By | 2017-10-23T13:08:55+00:00 December 7th, 2016|Exams and assessment, School accountability|

The impact of ECDL on Progress 8 scores

We have written previously about how the points awarded to the European Computer Driving Licence in school performance tables appeared to be out-of-kilter with other qualifications, given the grades achieved by ECDL entrants in GCSEs they took. And Data Educator has subsequently written more on the topic. (To give it its full title, we’re talking about [...]

By | 2018-02-23T13:00:32+00:00 November 14th, 2016|Exams and assessment, School accountability|

Provisional KS4 data 2016: Grammar schools reporting fantastic Progress 8 scores? Not so fast…

Today’s provisional Key Stage 4 data shows a strong Progress 8 performance from grammar schools, and a negative Progress 8 score for those calling themselves secondary moderns. But the positive results of the grammars seem to more than outweigh the negative results of secondary moderns. So, should we use this data to claim that selection [...]

By | 2018-04-10T08:28:01+00:00 October 13th, 2016|Exams and assessment, School accountability, Structures|

What Progress 8 tells us about how the curriculum has changed in schools

Secondary schools today received provisional Progress 8 data for 2016. This is a significant milestone given the importance attached to Progress 8 in the secondary school accountability framework. The rest of us will have to wait until provisional data is published in October. In the meantime DfE has published some very useful technical information that [...]

By | 2018-04-10T08:28:38+00:00 September 26th, 2016|Exams and assessment, School accountability|